Conflict and well-being of civilians: The case of the Russian-Ukrainian hybrid war
ukraine
Economic Systems, 2020. With Maryna Osiichuk.
Using two large household surveys spanning 2012–2016 and a multi-dimensional concept of well-being, we estimate the contemporaneous effect of the Russian-Ukrainian hybrid war on civilians living outside the conflict zone in both countries. The conflict significantly worsened financial well-being, an effect that operates mostly through worsened expectations and that fades with distance from the conflict zone, and hit women’s financial well-being harder than men’s. Chronic disease increased in Ukraine over the longer term, while mental health effects appeared earlier and were more pronounced for men.
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Using two large household surveys spanning 2012–2016 and a multi-dimensional concept of well-being, we estimate the contemporaneous effect of the Russian-Ukrainian hybrid war on civilians living outside the conflict zone in both countries. The conflict significantly worsened financial well-being, an effect that operates mostly through worsened expectations and that fades with distance from the conflict zone, and hit women’s financial well-being harder than men’s. Chronic disease increased in Ukraine over the longer term, while mental health effects appeared earlier and were more pronounced for men.
Using survey data collected before and after the outbreak of hybrid warfare in eastern Ukraine in 2014, we estimate the effect of proximity to conflict on self-reported well-being and economic security — evidence that predates, and helps contextualise, the much larger shock of the 2022 full-scale invasion.
Published in: Economic Systems, 44(1)