Trade Disintegration and Agri-Food Trade: United Kingdom Exit From EU
brexit
agrifood
The World Economy, 2025. With Jun Du and Yundan Shi.
We provide a comprehensive difference-in-differences analysis of how the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement affected the UK’s agri-food trade after Brexit. Both the value and quantity of UK agri-food exports and imports fell significantly post-TCA, while prices rose as worsened market access and additional border checks pushed up trade costs. The results underline the importance of legal enforceability in trade agreements — particularly for agricultural and sanitary/phytosanitary provisions — for preserving market access and trade volumes.
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We provide a comprehensive difference-in-differences analysis of how the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement affected the UK’s agri-food trade after Brexit. Both the value and quantity of UK agri-food exports and imports fell significantly post-TCA, while prices rose as worsened market access and additional border checks pushed up trade costs. The results underline the importance of legal enforceability in trade agreements — particularly for agricultural and sanitary/phytosanitary provisions — for preserving market access and trade volumes.
We provide a comprehensive difference-in-differences analysis of how the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement affected the UK’s agri-food trade after Brexit. Both the value and quantity of UK agri-food exports and imports fell significantly post-TCA, while prices rose as worsened market access and additional border checks pushed up trade costs. The results underline the importance of legal enforceability in trade agreements — particularly for agricultural and sanitary/phytosanitary provisions — for preserving market access and trade volumes.
Published in: The World Economy, 2025. With Jun Du and Yundan Shi.