Post-Brexit trade survival: Looking beyond the European Union
brexit
consultancy
gravity
Economic Modelling, 2018. With Karen Jackson.
Before the UK left the EU, we modelled how UK trade relationships with non-EU partners were likely to evolve once preferential access to the single market ended — asking whether new or renegotiated third-country agreements could plausibly offset the loss. The structural gravity estimates from this paper became a reference point for subsequent post-Brexit impact assessments, including several used in policy submissions.
Published in: Economic Modelling, 73(C), 317–328