Harvesting Trade Opportunities: Staggered DID of Impact and Structural Gravity of Future of EU-UK Agrifood Trade
brexit
agrifood
Conference paper, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium, 2023.
Combining a staggered difference-in-differences estimate of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement’s realised impact on EU-UK agrifood trade with a structural gravity projection of plausible future trading arrangements, we ask how much of the post-Brexit agrifood trade loss is recoverable under alternative UK-EU relationships — including a veterinary/SPS agreement — and how much looks permanent under the current trading relationship.
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Combining a staggered difference-in-differences estimate of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement’s realised impact on EU-UK agrifood trade with a structural gravity projection of plausible future trading arrangements, we ask how much of the post-Brexit agrifood trade loss is recoverable under alternative UK-EU relationships — including a veterinary/SPS agreement — and how much looks permanent under the current trading relationship.
Combining a staggered difference-in-differences estimate of Brexit’s realised impact on EU-UK agrifood trade with a structural gravity projection of plausible future trading arrangements, this paper asks how much of the post-Brexit agrifood trade loss is recoverable under alternative UK-EU relationships, and how much is likely permanent.
Conference paper: International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium